According to the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen opinion poll, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to get around 32 seats in the 70-member house with a vote share of 33 per cent.
The Congress is expected to get 25 seats with 26 per cent vote share and Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is likely to get 10 seats with 23 per cent vote share, it said.
BJP’s Harsh Vardhan is the most preferred chief ministerial candidate, closely followed by Kejriwal, said the survey.
However, the survey said 15-20 seats, where the victory margin would be narrow (two percent), could impact the final poll outcome.
Noting price rise is the key factor working against the ruling Congress, the survey said people do recognise the work done by Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit over the past 15 years.
As many as 81 percent respondents said soaring vegetable prices may prove to be the deciding factor in the elections.
While the AAP is seen as a party that can bring down corruption, the BJP is seen as a party that can control inflation and the Congress as one that can maintain law and order, said the survey.
However, opinion is divided over the issue of safety of women.
While 47 percent respondents said crime is increasing as Delhi Police is busy protecting VIPs, 40 percent said absence of fear of law among people is the reason behind rise in criminal activities.
Almost one-third respondents felt poor policing is the most important reason behind spurt in crime cases against women.
The opinion poll was conducted with 6,340 respondents.